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Summary, 01.05.2020 - Infection-rate has increased to 0.9, but the PM still finds reopening likely

Despite increases in the infection rate, the Prime Minister still seems to find it likely that further reopening will happen after the 10th of May. A lot of money has been poured out yesterday to many Danish companies on the salary compensation scheme, and we may have found a drug that actually has an effect on the coronavirus, cutting down the time patients spend in the hospital.

TODAY'S BULLETS

  1. The infection-rate (R0-value) has increased to 0.9, after having been fixed at 0.6 for a while. The Prime Minister is watching this development closely but is also watching other variables that impact a potential reopening, such as how many get hospitalized, in intensive care, and worst case how many need respirators.

  2. Despite the increased infection rate, she believes that there will be an increased reopening after the 10th of May.

  3. Nine out of 10 companies have been paid out salary compensation as of today, informs the Ministry of Business. The last two days the Danish Business Authority has paid out 2.6 billion kroner after the decision was made to pay out the money before the applications were processed.

  4. The drug Remdesivir seems to have a positive effect on corona-patients. Patients treated with Remdesivir seem to recover 31 % faster than the group receiving a placebo treatment.

  5. All the parliamentary parties except Venstre have entered into an agreement which, among other things, ensures that elderly people can receive visits. 165 million kroner have been allocated to this purpose.

  6. A classified note regarding the risk of infection for various sectors, places and businesses have been leaked. The full list can be read at the bottom. The numbers and evaluations are "insecure and simplified", according to the State Serum Institute who is behind the analysis.

The Prime Minister during her 1st of May-speech / Foto: Liselotte Sabroe/Ritzau Scanpix

POLITICS AND ANNOUNCEMENTS

  • The infection-rate (R0-value) has increased to 0.9, after having been fixed at 0.6 for a while. The Prime Minister is watching this development closely, but is also watching other variables that impacts a potential reopening, such as how many get hospitalized, in intensive care, and worst case how many need respirators.

  • Despite the increased infection rate she believes that there will be an increased reopening after the 10th of May: “It is important to me to say, that regarding the question of reopening there are other variables than the infection rate that we are looking at. There is nothing at the moment that tells me that we cannot reopen more after the 10th of May.

  • Nine out of 10 companies have been paid out salary compensation as of today, informs the Ministry of Business. The last two days the Danish Business Authority has paid out 2.6 billion kroner after the decision was made to pay out the money before the applications were processed. In total, 6 billion kroner has been paid out on the compensation scheme, and Danish companies have applied for a total amount of 6.7 billion kroner, slightly above the initial expectation of the Ministry of Business of 6.5 billion kroner.

  • All the parliamentary parties except Venstre have entered into an agreement which, among other things, ensures that elderly non-infected people can receive visits. 165 million kroner has been allocated to this purpose, which must be spent on visiting-pavillions, outdoor terraces etc. Furthermore, the agreement states that elderly who have had to be without cleaning-aid must be offered a thorough cleaning.

  • In the Prime Minister’s 1st of May-speech, she addresses the challenges lying ahead with recovering the Danish economy. 47.000 people have become unemployed since the beginning of the crisis, and therefore the government will attempt to create new jobs based on three principles:


  1. The recovery must be fair. 30 billion kroner will be allocated to renovate the subsidised housing sector, which the Prime Minister called “fair”. Here renters can have their outdated apartments and houses improved and have e.g. mould removed. According to the Minister of Housing Kaare Dybvad will 150.000 renters be able to have their housing renovated across the entire country.

  2. The recovery must be green. Part of the money allocated to renovating subsidised housings must be used on green initiatives, like replacing an oil burner.

  3. The recovery must be economically responsible. The building projects that will begin due to this proposal will create jobs and lower the unemployment numbers.


  • The Prime Minister does not believe that the level of unemployment benefits should be defined in times of crisis, she said today. The government’s support-parties have been pushing to have increased access to unemployment benefits due to the corona-crisis and its effect on the unemployment rate. However, she did say: “This doesn’t change that everybody must get through the crisis well. That is also the case for receivers of unemployment benefits, and we are in close dialogue with the workers’ unions about this.

  • The prohibition on stopping at Islands Brygge will not be extended after tonight. Instead, the police and Copenhagen municipality are working together on new initiatives to help the citizens keep social distancing, by marking squares of 40 square meters, where a maximum of 10 people are allowed to stay inside, with wide passages in between.

  • Today’s negotiations for the next phase of the reopening of Denmark has finished without agreement between the parties. The negotiations will continue next week, according to TV2.

  • Larger shops above 10.000 square meters need at least 20 square meters per person, according to the specified guidelines given by the government today. That means that a store on 25.000 square meters can have 1.250 people in the store. Eating and play-areas and other common areas must remain closed. The larger stores also have to make it possible to pass other customers with more than 2 meters of distance. The rule of four square meters per person is still in place for normally sized stores.

  • There won’t be room for allowing all children in Copenhagen to go back to their childcare institutions within the coming months if the current requirements on space and cleaning are maintained, says Copenhagen municipality to the parents of small children in the municipality. The possibility to take care-leave will be extended until the end of May, and money will be paid back for the days where the children haven’t been given a spot in the institution since the reopening.

  • Local Government Denmark (Kommunernes Landsforening) want the oldest pupils back to school, says the Chairman of the organization, and mayor in Aarhus, Jacob Bundsgaard. The government and the parties of the Parliament are negotiating at the moment about what to reopen next in Denmark, as well as when.

HEALTH-RELATED INFORMATION

  • 9.311 have tested positive, 303 more than the day before yesterday (Expect large dark numbers since we haven't been testing everyone with symptoms from the start, ed.).

  • 249 are hospitalized, 18 less than the day before yesterday.

  • Of those 249, 61 are in intensive care, 5 less than the day before yesterday.

  • Of those 61, 44 are in respirators, 6 less than the day before yesterday.

  • 460 Corona-infected Danes have died, 17 more than the day before yesterday.

  • 206.576 have been tested for corona-virus, with 9.311 positives (4.5 % positives), a drop of 0.50 % from the day before yesterday (We are testing more, so we are also finding more non-infected, ed.)

  • 6.729 are reported as healthy again, after having been hospitalized with corona-virus, 608 more than the day before yesterday.

  • The drug Remdesivir seems to have a positive effect on corona-patients, according to the preliminary results from an international study, where Denmark is also participating. Patients treated with Remdesivir seems to recover 31 % faster than the group receiving a placebo treatment, and the mortality rate also falls from 11 to 8 %.

  • Coronavirus is more lethal to the elderly population than the common flu, according to a new report from the State Serum Institute. The mortality rate among the 80-89-year-old is 25 % with corona-infection, but “only” 6.4-13.9 % with the common flu.

  • A new research project across 11 Danish hospitals are now investigating, as one of four kinds of treatments, whether blood transfusions with blood plasma from people who have created antibodies against coronavirus will be able to help severely ill corona-patients.

  • 2 million antibody tests for the Danes have stranded in China. The Danish health authorities have tried to get them to Denmark since March, but the tests have been put aside until the Chinese National Medical Products Administration have approved them. The State Serum Institute expects the tests to be put on a plane for Denmark next week.

  • The corona-ward on Svendborg Hospital will be closed, due to only 5 patients hospitalized with coronavirus at Odense University Hospital. This way the staff can return to their normal wards. The testing and evaluation-clinic at the hospital will continue as normal.

OTHER NEWS

  • Billund Airport has received 99 % fewer passengers in April 2020 compared to last year. 3.115 passengers have moved through the airport during the entire month, and between one to three passenger planes leaves daily.

  • Nordsjællands Politi will be harsher on people violating the prohibition on gathering more than 10 people in public space. Particularly two hotspots at Bellevue Beach and Rungsted Harbour will be supervised closely by the police.

FULL CLASSIFIED LIST OF RISK-EVALUATION



Low risk

Party, eating and shopping

  • Outdoor areals

Culture and religion

  • Libraries

  • Museums

  • Zoos


Medium risk

Schools

  • HF-single classes

  • Universities

  • University Colleges

  • Business Academies

  • Artistic higher education (medium/high risk by physical activity and/or singing)

Party, eating and shopping

  • Restaurants

  • Cafées

  • Shopping centres, Shopping arcades, large shops, bazars

  • Water pipe cafés (medium/high)

Culture and religion

  • Theatres

  • Cinemas

  • Churches, synagogues, mosques etc. (medium/high by physical activity and/or singing

Activity and sport

  • Ice skating rinks

  • Indoor swimming pools

  • Outdoor sports facilities with physical distance


High risk

Schools

  • Artistic higher education (medium/high risk by physical activity and/or singing)

  • 6.-10th grades

  • Secondary education except for last-year students and ASF-classes

  • Business educations

  • Folk high schools

Party, eating and shopping

  • Water pipe cafés (medium/high)

  • Bars and bodegas

Culture and religion

  • Churches, synagogues, mosques etc. (medium/high by physical activity and/or singing)

Activity and sport

  • Juvenile clubs

  • Activity- and daycare offers for socially exposed children and young

  • Waterparks

  • Play-lands

  • Indoor facilities in amusement parks

  • Sports arenas - with physical distance


Very high risk

Schools

  • Efterskoler

Party, eating and shopping

  • Venues

  • Night clubs and disco

Culture and religion

  • Amusement parks

Activity and sport

  • Fitness centres

  • Sports arenas - with physical contact



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